Friday, April 10, 2020

Tomorrow will be “Peak Ventilator Day” for the United States

Tomorrow is "Peak Ventilator," the day that the largest number of patients with the COVID-19 coronavirus pandemic is expected this year to require ventilators to stay alive in the United States.

It came much earlier than most people expected, and the total number of "ventilated" patients also appears to be much lower than initially anticipated. This is largely due to changes in the computer forecasting models that are used to predict the spread of the pandemic.

In the coming weeks, there will still be individual hospitals, even entire cities, that will see the number of ventilators they have in use increase further. This is because virus "hot spots" are likely to continue to erupt across the country; however, the latest estimates predict that on Sunday, April 12, just over 15,400 COVID-19 patients will breathe in US hospitals with the assistance of invasive ventilation. Then forecasts show that that number is steadily declining for the rest of this year.

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